CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs hindsight (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a07dc55f5af18faf28b3b103da0f0d47fcd6d146da121eb6b20379f7348db95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- los kogutosof los kogutos, hindsight
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83f4…f91ebacked hindsight | 10c | 3,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff2…9ef0backed hindsight | 10c | 3,292$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…effcbacked hindsight | 10c | 1,412$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…05ccbacked hindsight | 11c | 1,128$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06e…7f1cbacked hindsight | 11c | 696$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…bfb9backed hindsight | 10c | 671$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…1a78backed hindsight | 10c | 534$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…99e4backed hindsight | 10c | 455$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991c…5f1bbacked hindsight | 10c | 415$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed hindsight | 11c | 405.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed hindsight | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed hindsight | 14c | 99.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs hindsight (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs hindsight - Map 1 Winnerlos kogutos won
- Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs hindsight - Map 2 Winnerlos kogutos won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.