Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Borna Sosa record the most red cards in the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a1190ac38d1631a2b80d34ab6d30fea3753496d736ebe0405c2ee968fabd40f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a2…085cbacked No | 75c | 208.43$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…b250backed No | 75c | 203.06$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…a880backed No | 75c | 199.21$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x364c…98efbacked No | 75c | 191.08$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…5ec9backed No | 75c | 191.02$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13a…b333backed No | 75c | 190.76$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa210…4b7cbacked No | 75c | 190.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…bdbdbacked No | 75c | 190.37$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…eca1backed No | 75c | 189.06$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…fc32backed No | 75c | 188.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd093…a20abacked No | 75c | 187.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50db…1d65backed No | 75c | 183.44$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…b3d1backed No | 75c | 181.11$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…e56bbacked No | 75c | 178.57$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…981abacked No | 75c | 175.6$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.