Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a12fce5eb5590777faed74e13e7052cfda49c2d8c77c09e39d90ca59c836da3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LNG Esportsof LNG Esports, Oh My God
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Oh My God | 50c | 7,023$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Oh My God | 50c | 6,159$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.27 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed LNG Esports | 50c | 6,061$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.78 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Oh My God | 50c | 2,196$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…a070backed LNG Esports | 50c | 2,065$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…14adbacked LNG Esports | 50c | 2,049$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed LNG Esports | 50c | 2,045$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked LNG Esports | 50c | 1,776$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Oh My God | 53c | 716.89$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.89 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked LNG Esports | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked LNG Esports | 46c | 650$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed LNG Esports | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed LNG Esports | 21c | 322.78$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Oh My God | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed LNG Esports | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Oh My God | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…b721backed LNG Esports | 52c | 70.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed LNG Esports | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Oh My God | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b71…9fcdbacked LNG Esports | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Oh My God | 53c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed LNG Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaLNG Esports won
- LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerLNG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.