TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will UNC beat UConn by 3 or more points?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UConnof UNC, UConn
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,150 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37b0…4bb2backed UNC50c190$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae47…571bbacked UNC51c190$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3c…30edbacked UConn49c190$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x449d…83f5backed UConn50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd5a…47b1backed UNC50c185$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dff…c0a6backed UConn50c185$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17ce…0481backed UConn51c183$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc681…5ff9backed UNC49c183$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e5b…14aebacked UConn51c183$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb940…deb0backed UConn51c183$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…8a48backed UNC49c183$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dbb…b9cdbacked UNC49c183$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3672…907fbacked UNC49c182$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48d2…0765backed UConn49c182$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461a…d405backed UConn51c182$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…4d74backed UNC49c182$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec02…6f98backed UConn51c182$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b80…2ac3backed UConn51c182$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf75…93bebacked UNC51c182$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ceb…f3b1backed UNC49c182$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebce…b5dcbacked UConn51c182$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1709…1155backed UConn49c182$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe811…33d9backed UConn50c182$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06b…7d74backed UNC49c182$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7a…e631backed UNC49c182$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35dd…1fd3backed UConn51c182$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c37…fceebacked UNC51c182$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x356d…41e1backed UNC50c182$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb99…cba5backed UNC49c181$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2f…4acfbacked UNC51c181$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28d8…ce28backed UConn51c181$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80c5…1d70backed UConn51c181$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…819fbacked UNC49c181$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb5…90c7backed UConn49c181$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f0…2ae3backed UConn51c181$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x610f…4de7backed UNC49c181$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe14b…4365backed UConn49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x092a…7f17backed UNC51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e32…8f47backed UConn51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f00…ee40backed UConn49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa203…4cedbacked UNC51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e61…d0b1backed UNC49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc47…1ff2backed UConn51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x730f…4673backed UConn49c180$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x366b…9d4fbacked UConn45c180$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd54…f093backed UNC55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x898e…0cbfbacked UNC49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb572…e6f7backed UNC51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffd…4331backed UNC51c179$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x881c…cfc1backed UConn49c179$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe807…e6e7backed UNC51c178$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f6…4c4dbacked UConn49c178$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff7…6726backed UConn50c176$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e9…e909backed UNC50c176$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf42…a364backed UConn49c176$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa857…1dcebacked UNC49c176$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671d…aceabacked UConn51c176$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbc9…70d0backed UNC51c176$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf361…a17cbacked UNC51c175$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1358…480cbacked UConn49c175$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc281…fb14backed UNC50c175$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c4…babfbacked UConn49c175$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf86…2054backed UNC51c175$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…06a2backed UConn50c175$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2c…d301backed UConn50c175$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe2…4627backed UNC50c175$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x248c…dc02backed UConn49c174$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0a…76acbacked UNC51c174$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe9…76dfbacked UConn51c174$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993c…4b5cbacked UNC49c174$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…1114backed UConn51c173$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92d2…aedebacked UNC49c173$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7086…d776backed UConn49c173$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2540…abbbbacked UNC51c173$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e0…e97abacked UConn51c172$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x709c…70adbacked UConn51c172$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aed…1f06backed UNC51c172$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f9c…6b2fbacked UConn49c172$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d55…2e1dbacked UConn51c172$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1968…c9f2backed UNC51c172$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4613…1070backed UNC51c172$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x298a…e635backed UConn49c172$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba9…2affbacked UNC49c172$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4591…2384backed UNC49c172$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e1…044abacked UConn51c172$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc32…97e6backed UNC49c172$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5438…6203backed UConn49c172$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef5…84a5backed UNC49c172$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x867d…ccfdbacked UConn49c171$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x118b…25b2backed UNC51c171$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5792…9965backed UNC49c171$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d4…c2cabacked UConn51c171$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03de…c0b9backed UNC53c171$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x041e…42bdbacked UConn47c171$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa348…57ecbacked UNC50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x771d…75edbacked UConn51c170$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2865…50c2backed UNC49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e2…f0b8backed UConn50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5c…c6d1backed UNC51c161$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9319…7441backed UConn49c161$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.