Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UTSA Roadrunners vs. East Carolina Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ae629bbb30b055ae98eea8483629a9a49c0f0405233d92cab378957bb48a86a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Carolina Piratesof UTSA Roadrunners, East Carolina Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed UTSA Roadrunners | 15c | 705$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…60a2backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 497.7$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 15c | 344$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa95d…6a82backed UTSA Roadrunners | 14c | 329.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UTSA Roadrunners | 13c | 308.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…4b0ebacked UTSA Roadrunners | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 199.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 168.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed UTSA Roadrunners | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 19c | 80.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed UTSA Roadrunners | 17c | 66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked UTSA Roadrunners | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed East Carolina Pirates | 74c | 46.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked East Carolina Pirates | 80c | 30.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. East Carolina Piratesthis page
- Spread: East Carolina Pirates (-10.5)East Carolina Pirates won
- Spread: East Carolina Pirates (-11.5)East Carolina Pirates won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 148.5Over won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 149.5Over won
- UTSA Roadrunners vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.