Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bf98f208a1f7aabcd1c1e69bdd15c56892caa6591438adaad790bcba13b9b97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 19c | 5,715$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.15 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 67c | 1,111$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.68 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed No | 74c | 644.42$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 26c | 644.42$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf805…8adbbacked Yes | 32c | 289.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed No | 20c | 173.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 80c | 173.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 34c | 149.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed No | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 36c | 59.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b7…9ccfbacked Yes | 37c | 40.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f7…82f4backed Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 70c | 29.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-02-20?this page
- Will Bodo/Glimt vs. Twente end in a draw?No won
- Will Twente win on 2025-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.