CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d50364e6919470270c7c186798c3d428cee29e07799620d3a70fb6b983b7a97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Lilmix, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lilmix | 22c | 1,148$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.52 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bebop | 78c | 1,136$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Lilmix | 19c | 462.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Lilmix | 13c | 234.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740e…93a9backed Bebop | 75c | 133.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Bebop | 76c | 120.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bebop | 78c | 114.09$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lilmix | 34c | 72.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Lilmix | 40c | 68.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lilmix | 25c | 64.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…f16abacked Bebop | 77c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lilmix | 29c | 54.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Lilmix | 23c | 50.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Bebop | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…4930backed Lilmix | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Bebop | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4d…7f1dbacked Bebop | 73c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bebop | 77c | 27.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…294fbacked Bebop | 72c | 24.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Bebop | 69c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…d04fbacked Bebop | 79c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.