Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d91caf6f3a064eb278dc428a79b859238d187f00d12f71c36627fbb2517c4cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Hurricanesof Wake Forest Demon Deacons, Miami Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 48c | 335.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.22 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 221$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 111$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 111$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 40c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 49c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Miami Hurricanes | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Miami Hurricanes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-1.5)this page
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Wake Forest Demon DeaconsMiami Hurricanes won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.