Lol · resolved market
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Lupus Esports (BO3) - EBL Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d94478cf0f219128d627a5c24b3e4ffbb6146ef781029ea6b588fd219a906c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Partizan Sangalof Partizan Sangal, Lupus Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lupus Esports | 16c | 5,000$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.26 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Lupus Esports | 13c | 1,311$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.16 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Lupus Esports | 12c | 973.1$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…40ebbacked Lupus Esports | 13c | 940.31$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…f9c9backed Lupus Esports | 13c | 757.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Lupus Esports | 12c | 746.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…17fbbacked Lupus Esports | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Lupus Esports | 15c | 255.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Lupus Esports | 12c | 195$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Lupus Esports | 10c | 153.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…1fbabacked Lupus Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked Lupus Esports | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Lupus Esports (BO3) - EBL Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: PS (-1.5) vs Lupus Esports (+1.5)Partizan Sangal won
- LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Lupus Esports - Game 1 WinnerPartizan Sangal won
- LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Lupus Esports - Game 2 WinnerPartizan Sangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.