CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs CSDIILIT (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7da2df207b96d10e2e8e685824c1286703b5cebbe0f060d27080945a77393b55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed CSDIILIT | 0c | 3,836$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed CSDIILIT | 25c | 453.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ NXT | 75c | 415.2$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed CSDIILIT | 28c | 138.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked MOUZ NXT | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked CSDIILIT | 25c | 111$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed CSDIILIT | 25c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed CSDIILIT | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed MOUZ NXT | 74c | 83.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ NXT | 76c | 64.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked CSDIILIT | 34c | 49.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed CSDIILIT | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked CSDIILIT | 26c | 41.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed CSDIILIT | 26c | 41.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed MOUZ NXT | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked MOUZ NXT | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked MOUZ NXT | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed MOUZ NXT | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked MOUZ NXT | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.