CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db48f087e9d66dcf49f387caa48e8b5421cbf5b36dceb6e15569bcfafc9b692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sashi Esportof Sashi Esport, Sinners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed Sinners | 33c | 1,446$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.5 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sinners | 60c | 974.5$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.7 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Sashi Esport | 58c | 549.99$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sinners | 46c | 381.25$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Sashi Esport | 55c | 315.22$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed Sashi Esport | 55c | 273.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Sinners | 42c | 269.04$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Sinners | 42c | 230.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…f371backed Sinners | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sinners | 35c | 196.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Sashi Esport | 64c | 177.11$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sinners | 43c | 135$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Sashi Esport | 54c | 134.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Sinners | 49c | 131.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sashi Esport | 65c | 130.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Sashi Esport | 71c | 123.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Sashi Esport | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Sashi Esport | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded1…eedfbacked Sashi Esport | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Sinners | 28c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 228 | 37.3%85 W · 143 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Sashi Esport | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Sinners | 46c | 53.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Sinners | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Sashi Esport | 53c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Sashi Esport | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Sashi Esport | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Sinners | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Sashi Esport | 71c | 24.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Sinners | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 PlayoffsSashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Sinners - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.