TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Louisiana vs. Troy

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Louisianaof Louisiana, Troy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,905
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,905 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5112…b08ebacked Louisiana21c237$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick36cpaid+238.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf12b…51cabacked Louisiana21c198$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+119.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8194…faacbacked Louisiana21c184$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick39cpaid+227.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe28…5f08backed Louisiana21c157$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+181.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x428a…5509backed Troy79c109$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.11757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb045…5961backed Troy79c73$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6181…de44backed Troy79c65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391f…28bdbacked Troy79c60$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…75f8backed Troy79c54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cdc…d3e7backed Troy79c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa0…a7ecbacked Troy79c47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59fe…6e14backed Troy79c44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6514…9303backed Troy79c43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.97742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c06…2c9cbacked Troy79c43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.97366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe9…5f24backed Troy79c42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fdd…0f7cbacked Troy79c38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…a1f3backed Troy79c37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…e286backed Troy79c37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe43…35e0backed Troy79c34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd8…1b5bbacked Troy50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd11f…2665backed Louisiana50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6533…84e3backed Louisiana50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eae…26a2backed Louisiana50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cab…6fd2backed Louisiana50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a84…6b66backed Louisiana50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf372…3b47backed Troy50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27a6…517bbacked Troy49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d2…d39abacked Louisiana50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330c…9409backed Troy50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce02…ebeebacked Troy50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945f…53e7backed Louisiana50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a53…dc18backed Louisiana50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac11…89cabacked Troy50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54f…24d4backed Louisiana50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x598f…2324backed Louisiana50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa56b…faa3backed Troy49c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf4…98c0backed Troy50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a68…a582backed Troy50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a4c…0a95backed Troy50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0c…ba31backed Troy50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed4b…1f05backed Louisiana50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8550…83d2backed Louisiana51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99b9…459ebacked Troy49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca56…e808backed Louisiana51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce3d…2a4cbacked Troy50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6642…079abacked Troy50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa8…cc0ebacked Troy50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb75…a6c3backed Louisiana51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a05…e103backed Louisiana50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80fd…85f1backed Troy49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea7…869dbacked Louisiana50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d7…9472backed Louisiana51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b6…81f0backed Louisiana50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2661…5464backed Troy49c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1158…8488backed Troy50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6509…c02dbacked Louisiana51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe611…b9d0backed Louisiana51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x765d…f428backed Louisiana50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5f…e2adbacked Troy49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9e…e12cbacked Troy49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecca…d5a3backed Troy50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf130…15eabacked Louisiana50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5658…f30ebacked Louisiana50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7a…c859backed Louisiana50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ab…caefbacked Louisiana51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e01…f8a6backed Troy50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb8…7a30backed Troy49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1285…a02fbacked Troy49c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea3…4659backed Louisiana51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d87…c301backed Louisiana51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc732…6a18backed Louisiana51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.783100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf892…5d7bbacked Louisiana50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f83…e773backed Troy50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0895…1ef9backed Louisiana51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.29333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbdb…82cdbacked Troy51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b2…cb8dbacked Troy51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…4379backed Troy50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e50…2544backed Troy49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96cf…7e24backed Louisiana49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4a…52dbbacked Louisiana49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf83f…98cfbacked Troy49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…fcc3backed Louisiana49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e72…d6a8backed Louisiana51c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.294100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc208…6e03backed Troy51c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7d…bfe6backed Louisiana50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f33…ad88backed Louisiana50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f84…af19backed Louisiana50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a0…d244backed Louisiana50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeadd…9effbacked Troy50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2a1…0d1fbacked Troy50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceca…0e1ebacked Troy50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b55…9255backed Troy50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d9…ce56backed Troy71c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.