Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Utes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ddd36faa2f6e8632577f46d8afaa9749199606abad7717619d6b714e864fd41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Utesof California Baptist Lancers, Utah Utes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed California Baptist Lancers | 15c | 5,858$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.7 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Utah Utes | 72c | 4,851$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.42 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked California Baptist Lancers | 28c | 1,617$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.18 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed California Baptist Lancers | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked California Baptist Lancers | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California Baptist Lancers | 28c | 797.8$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.91 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked California Baptist Lancers | 21c | 600$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 27c | 560.06$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Utah Utes | 76c | 537.49$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.52 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked California Baptist Lancers | 29c | 421.33$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed California Baptist Lancers | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Utah Utes | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California Baptist Lancers | 12c | 320$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed California Baptist Lancers | 29c | 267.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…a330backed Utah Utes | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 29c | 198.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California Baptist Lancers | 19c | 181.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah Utes | 76c | 116.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed California Baptist Lancers | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Utah Utes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…04f6backed California Baptist Lancers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed California Baptist Lancers | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…55c8backed California Baptist Lancers | 18c | 92.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked California Baptist Lancers | 22c | 91.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed California Baptist Lancers | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Utah Utes | 71c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Utah Utes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.