Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Halys vs Rottgering
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dfb21ddfb9184cafba1ab5063006b9d420dea8d5351291fb9d24fc48ddb4f07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rottgeringof Halys, Rottgering
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Halys | 3c | 964$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Halys | 37c | 400.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rottgering | 64c | 175.74$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.1 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…5745backed Rottgering | 73c | 153.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Rottgering | 33c | 98.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Halys | 40c | 85.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rottgering | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Rottgering | 67c | 26.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…5312backed Halys | 69c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…7d6abacked Halys | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…0e5cbacked Halys | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…4434backed Halys | 69c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Halys vs Rottgeringthis page
- Halys vs. Rottgering: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Halys vs. Rottgering: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Halys vs. Rottgering: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Halys vs. Rottgering: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Halys vs. Rottgering: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Halys vs. Rottgering: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Rotterdam Open: Quentin Halys vs Mees RottgeringHalys won
- Set Handicap: Halys (-1.5) vs Rottgering (+1.5)Rottgering won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.