Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maryland vs. Nebraska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e211c93fe2f5a4d567db5ffbb8f0c6e3ca0cdad27e5540b00a428f8fa4b9b28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marylandof Maryland, Nebraska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maryland | 52c | 8,122$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.24 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Nebraska | 52c | 7,649$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Nebraska | 17c | 1,024$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.55 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Nebraska | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…282dbacked Nebraska | 52c | 118$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeea…8921backed Nebraska | 53c | 101$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maryland | 46c | 98.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c97…5b08backed Maryland | 47c | 78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Nebraska | 54c | 71.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…4f03backed Nebraska | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…1bc3backed Maryland | 47c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…1462backed Nebraska | 52c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…a22cbacked Nebraska | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…ce0bbacked Maryland | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Maryland | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…a12bbacked Nebraska | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…dec8backed Maryland | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d5…ff97backed Maryland | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2385…1abdbacked Nebraska | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…82e7backed Maryland | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…8ae4backed Nebraska | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa18…689abacked Maryland | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Maryland | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451d…f2b0backed Nebraska | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb610…be27backed Maryland | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434b…e08ebacked Nebraska | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e94…4ed6backed Maryland | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…3516backed Maryland | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…a6fbbacked Maryland | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f1…3f30backed Maryland | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…2dc0backed Nebraska | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b8…005abacked Maryland | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde12…a72abacked Maryland | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a10…62a8backed Maryland | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…2da7backed Nebraska | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7b73backed Maryland | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…7fe6backed Nebraska | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaf…ce48backed Nebraska | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.