Champions League · resolved market
Will F.C. Kobenhavn vs. Malmo FF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x802c5215804eba892a76c472a5c35d6c04863ab4c9061198391d82451554f274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b55…4be4backed Yes | 26c | 755$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…fbcfbacked No | 74c | 645$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…8995backed No | 72c | 445$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…84a8backed Yes | 28c | 385$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…37bbbacked No | 74c | 355$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…d984backed Yes | 28c | 310$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…03b1backed No | 72c | 270$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345e…7b41backed Yes | 28c | 255$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 40cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebc…17c5backed Yes | 26c | 230$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b10…2feebacked No | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…e03abacked No | 72c | 105$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55da…839abacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 78cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will F.C. Kobenhavn vs. Malmo FF end in a draw?this page
- Will F.C. Kobenhavn win on 2025-08-12?Yes won
- Will Malmo FF win on 2025-08-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.