Lol · resolved market
LoL: GOAL vs Team Paradox - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x808943b2ac4ee9173943f9eb998c63072c18e92fbfd9fb32989fd178906c3684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GOALof GOAL, Team Paradox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44fa…d852backed GOAL | 79c | 9,286$7,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.34 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Team Paradox | 21c | 4,403$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.33 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed GOAL | 77c | 2,576$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.43 | 409 | 70.2%287 W · 122 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Team Paradox | 20c | 1,858$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.66 | 295 | 36.9%109 W · 186 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Team Paradox | 23c | 1,109$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.25 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Team Paradox | 23c | 829.39$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Team Paradox | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Team Paradox | 23c | 414.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Team Paradox | 22c | 367.8$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Team Paradox | 23c | 305.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Team Paradox | 23c | 298.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…30c1backed Team Paradox | 20c | 297.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Team Paradox | 23c | 282.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Team Paradox | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Team Paradox | 23c | 190.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Paradox | 20c | 136.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…c071backed Team Paradox | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Paradox | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Team Paradox | 19c | 96.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed Team Paradox | 23c | 95.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed Team Paradox | 23c | 86.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed GOAL | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6029…82bbbacked GOAL | 80c | 19.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: GOAL vs Team Paradox - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: GOAL vs Team Paradox (BO2) - HLL Regular SeasonGOAL won
- LoL: GOAL vs Team Paradox - Game 2 WinnerGOAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.