NHL · resolved market
SHL: Leksands IF vs. Malmoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80fc01982faa3a6338b20a8f26fe944697c2dd3915ee46e40ef744dadc87695c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Malmoeof Leksands IF, Malmoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Malmoe | 64c | 468.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.64 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Leksands IF | 41c | 331.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Malmoe | 59c | 190$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Leksands IF | 22c | 152.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd3…7f4abacked Malmoe | 59c | 130$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Malmoe | 59c | 129$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…681dbacked Leksands IF | 41c | 115$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Leksands IF | 42c | 106.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Malmoe | 54c | 102$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Leksands IF | 16c | 87.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Malmoe | 54c | 81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Leksands IF | 42c | 71.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Malmoe | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Malmoe | 54c | 67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Malmoe | 54c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Malmoe | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Leksands IF | 42c | 51.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Leksands IF | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Leksands IF | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Malmoe | 53c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Leksands IF | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Leksands IF | 41c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Leksands IF | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Leksands IF | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Leksands IF | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Leksands IF | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Leksands IF | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Leksands IF | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Leksands IF | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Leksands IF | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Leksands IF | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Leksands IF | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Leksands IF | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Leksands IF | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Leksands IF | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Leksands IF | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Leksands IF | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Leksands IF | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Malmoe | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.