Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas A&M Commerce vs. New Orleans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81734861a3c4fc998beb5bba2247a89e1b41b4b114680b2a00c2c416ebd3b5ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&M Commerceof Texas A&M Commerce, New Orleans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa980…d9e6backed New Orleans | 50c | 174$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…4e03backed New Orleans | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb4…de48backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 103$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab2…05c7backed New Orleans | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf80…0a90backed Texas A&M Commerce | 51c | 86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…c4e9backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…f6e5backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…a081backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…7b60backed New Orleans | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…834dbacked New Orleans | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…0bbbbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 62c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…7c1fbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked New Orleans | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c51…07a4backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…8d6cbacked New Orleans | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New Orleans | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…661abacked New Orleans | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9321…979dbacked New Orleans | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a27…d46dbacked New Orleans | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…ef49backed Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…0b6bbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…6b4abacked Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103b…cdf6backed New Orleans | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ca…2d82backed New Orleans | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.