Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Incarnate Word vs. UT Rio Grande Valley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8193382976c57a9878e84c4ba863d5cd199f93f023ba6fe20e2a3029e10cc32f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Incarnate Wordof Incarnate Word, UT Rio Grande Valley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UT Rio Grande Valley | 64c | 1,205$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.6 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Incarnate Word | 37c | 1,000$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.94 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfa…22adbacked UT Rio Grande Valley | 50c | 294$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Incarnate Word | 35c | 205$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa166…ea28backed Incarnate Word | 50c | 185$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…770cbacked Incarnate Word | 50c | 145$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…5524backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 50c | 116$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03c0…ec6fbacked Incarnate Word | 50c | 113$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7a…38c7backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 50c | 113$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Incarnate Word | 35c | 111$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked UT Rio Grande Valley | 64c | 108.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…2d14backed Incarnate Word | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbc…6afebacked Incarnate Word | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 68c | 51.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…3a64backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0091backed Incarnate Word | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef33…3aeebacked UT Rio Grande Valley | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…8c07backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…dba6backed Incarnate Word | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2328…3610backed Incarnate Word | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…b1d9backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…5f08backed Incarnate Word | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0f…b9b7backed Incarnate Word | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…5fa5backed Incarnate Word | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…3cfbbacked Incarnate Word | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65dd…dc67backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…02f8backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1684…50ffbacked UT Rio Grande Valley | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf091…a187backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…c5c3backed Incarnate Word | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 72c | 27.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…bc1ebacked UT Rio Grande Valley | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba4…ea98backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…169fbacked Incarnate Word | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…1605backed Incarnate Word | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed UT Rio Grande Valley | 68c | 18.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…1607backed Incarnate Word | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.