Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: S2G (-1.5) vs GnG Amazigh (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c5634444caa427dfa9bd2d690767200833647f84c00406d50380bfdb1ee0d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- S2G Esportsof S2G Esports, GnG Amazigh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,927 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed S2G Esports | 77c | 2,941$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked GnG Amazigh | 22c | 934.75$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.83 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed GnG Amazigh | 25c | 520.7$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.97 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked GnG Amazigh | 20c | 390.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed GnG Amazigh | 17c | 220.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked GnG Amazigh | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed GnG Amazigh | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked GnG Amazigh | 22c | 148$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed GnG Amazigh | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed GnG Amazigh | 22c | 93.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed GnG Amazigh | 21c | 79.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed S2G Esports | 78c | 73.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed GnG Amazigh | 24c | 55.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: S2G (-1.5) vs GnG Amazigh (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs GnG Amazigh (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group DS2G Esports won
- Valorant: S2G Esports vs GnG Amazigh - Map 2 WinnerS2G Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.