CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81dbf87f7cdbdf19cb8b6691adfce86a7208842c062b71c490414be446ea35e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof paiN Academy, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5135…7217backed ALKA | 71c | 1,605$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.42 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN Academy | 29c | 900$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed ALKA | 79c | 633.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.73 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed paiN Academy | 29c | 544.83$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.87 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed paiN Academy | 20c | 515.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked paiN Academy | 16c | 310.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x53c2…d0bbbacked paiN Academy | 28c | 178.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed paiN Academy | 28c | 166.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed ALKA | 72c | 155.72$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed paiN Academy | 28c | 144.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed paiN Academy | 28c | 140.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked paiN Academy | 16c | 126.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed paiN Academy | 27c | 125.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed paiN Academy | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ALKA | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked ALKA | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…8dedbacked ALKA | 72c | 77.87$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…04b4backed ALKA | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked paiN Academy | 29c | 56.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed ALKA | 72c | 56.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed paiN Academy | 27c | 41.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7b…a65cbacked ALKA | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed ALKA | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…7ffcbacked ALKA | 72c | 22.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed ALKA | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerALKA won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.