Other European Leagues · resolved market
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x824df5288712545ffe4f50c692c24b2005109235da7c1d53d1d9d80212fd70d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,626 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 80c | 5,513$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.78 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 20c | 4,373$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.58 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 21c | 1,333$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 20c | 769.4$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.88 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…0afabacked Over | 26c | 502$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5289…e8e5backed Under | 74c | 502$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 80c | 96.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 80c | 54.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Under | 66c | 52.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b3…1df1backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 79c | 29.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Under | 80c | 27.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 3.5this page
- Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5Under won
- Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Eyüpspor (-1.5)Kocaelispor won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-1.5)Eyüpspor won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-2.5)Eyüpspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.