Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Drexel vs. Hampton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x827088d7be23661fbe1f05f36b3ce4fb49ede457929a93c4ebff5c5f96986938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hamptonof Drexel, Hampton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Drexel | 31c | 664.91$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.6 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hampton | 79c | 303.18$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…625cbacked Drexel | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Hampton | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…5dc4backed Hampton | 49c | 91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe034…96b0backed Drexel | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…cc01backed Drexel | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdb…23a4backed Hampton | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…8216backed Hampton | 47c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…5a93backed Hampton | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e3…08ccbacked Hampton | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Drexel | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Drexel | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c3…8b1abacked Hampton | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…30afbacked Hampton | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ea…d25ebacked Drexel | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1689…a4f1backed Drexel | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1948…ddbbbacked Hampton | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…0c83backed Drexel | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Drexel | 52c | 28.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3f…8535backed Hampton | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…0b05backed Hampton | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.