CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs Vexar - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82bcb4c897db38b0fb0d146171b4eb217f479599e6e568c8e6995fa859c64844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vexarof ZOTIX, Vexar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc24…c8c4backed Vexar | 62c | 3,438$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.92 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ZOTIX | 39c | 2,126$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.8 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Vexar | 63c | 1,770$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.11 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked ZOTIX | 34c | 1,281$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.9 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed ZOTIX | 38c | 977.6$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.8 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…7334backed Vexar | 46c | 761.32$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.06 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6315…2445backed ZOTIX | 45c | 443.18$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed ZOTIX | 33c | 431.16$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.04 | 55 | 74.5%41 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Vexar | 80c | 399.61$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…3314backed Vexar | 58c | 386.91$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked ZOTIX | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed ZOTIX | 33c | 287.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed Vexar | 59c | 208.78$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed ZOTIX | 33c | 151.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041d…047ebacked ZOTIX | 55c | 143.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed ZOTIX | 34c | 141.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked ZOTIX | 55c | 125.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…c8f9backed ZOTIX | 36c | 121.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed ZOTIX | 13c | 111.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed ZOTIX | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 288 | 44.1%127 W · 161 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ZOTIX | 41c | 60.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ZOTIX | 55c | 55.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed ZOTIX | 42c | 51.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed ZOTIX | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Vexar | 66c | 49.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Vexar | 75c | 49.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs Vexar - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs Vexar (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 PlayoffsVexar won
- Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs Vexar - Map 1 WinnerZOTIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.