Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos: Lorenzo Giustino vs Pietro Fellin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82be4a143efaeb604683f3facfc69e2d0614a712e239a33d33a38fe86527acc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Giustinoof Lorenzo Giustino, Pietro Fellin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pietro Fellin | 11c | 10,575$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.14 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pietro Fellin | 16c | 2,705$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.55 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pietro Fellin | 21c | 1,188$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.62 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 79c | 884.38$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.84 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Pietro Fellin | 15c | 827.78$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Pietro Fellin | 20c | 480$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Lorenzo Giustino | 78c | 333.44$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pietro Fellin | 14c | 269.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 78c | 245$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Pietro Fellin | 33c | 123.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Pietro Fellin | 32c | 104.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Pietro Fellin | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lorenzo Giustino | 67c | 98.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Pietro Fellin | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Pietro Fellin | 25c | 66.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Pietro Fellin | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Lorenzo Giustino | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Pietro Fellin | 23c | 47.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Lorenzo Giustino | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lorenzo Giustino | 66c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Lorenzo Giustino | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…2da0backed Lorenzo Giustino | 79c | 27.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5aa…e920backed Lorenzo Giustino | 79c | 21.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.3wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Lorenzo Giustino | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lorenzo Giustino | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hersonissos: Lorenzo Giustino vs Pietro Fellinthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Giustino vs FellinGiustino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.