Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83d6d85af16d773dbaeb0a21d3769bfac13614aaf1bb906c5f823669c26c9367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Rune Eaters, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24fe…30d5backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 1,802$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Rune Eaters | 39c | 1,736$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.99 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 873.33$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.87 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 790.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.02 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 540$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 499.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 294.09$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Rune Eaters | 36c | 292.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 289.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 227.37$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Zero Tenacity | 56c | 197.1$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 181.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 145.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Rune Eaters | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Rune Eaters | 37c | 32.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Zero Tenacity | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 30.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5e…b7e4backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.