TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs enjoy boys (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, enjoy boys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,892
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,892 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a84…0e54backed enjoy boys17c458.36$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.674233.3%14 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Rune Eaters78c179$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3812454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e30…c14dbacked Rune Eaters71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed enjoy boys29c102.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.699339.8%37 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked enjoy boys30c102.63$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.793351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Rune Eaters78c101.54$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3434561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked enjoy boys29c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0520046%92 W · 108 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed Rune Eaters80c38.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7718248.4%88 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.