Lol · resolved market
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs The Bandits - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84348738c0c68d5d92e6a33f3964e29144e88985ef2dfba4f227c07af8ee90a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Banditsof WLGaming Esports, The Bandits
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,688 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed WLGaming Esports | 1c | 4,198$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed The Bandits | 17c | 835$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.05 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed The Bandits | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 509 | 45.8%233 W · 276 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked The Bandits | 27c | 271.37$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.37 | 1,012 | 47%476 W · 536 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked The Bandits | 25c | 201$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.75 | 613 | 43.6%267 W · 346 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed The Bandits | 37c | 97.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed The Bandits | 50c | 92.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed WLGaming Esports | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed WLGaming Esports | 77c | 59.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed WLGaming Esports | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked WLGaming Esports | 75c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed The Bandits | 42c | 40.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked WLGaming Esports | 57c | 37.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed WLGaming Esports | 75c | 20.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs The Bandits - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?Yes won
- Game Handicap: WLG (-1.5) vs The Bandits (+1.5)The Bandits won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs The Bandits (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group GWLGaming Esports won
- LoL: WLGaming Esports vs The Bandits - Game 2 WinnerWLGaming Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.