Lol · resolved market
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x843c7ea8f6af6192050e31e47d3662c98ed5bf0652b54a848f0d08398a8ee1fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1 Academyof KT Rolster Challengers, T1 Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5809…9868backed KT Rolster Challengers | 27c | 4,722$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.5 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked T1 Academy | 57c | 3,344$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.52 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed KT Rolster Challengers | 6c | 488.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…1310backed KT Rolster Challengers | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked T1 Academy | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed KT Rolster Challengers | 57c | 174.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed KT Rolster Challengers | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…4418backed KT Rolster Challengers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124a…3741backed KT Rolster Challengers | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…d043backed KT Rolster Challengers | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KT Rolster Challengers | 31c | 83.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2833backed KT Rolster Challengers | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked T1 Academy | 56c | 42.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 520 | 62.3%324 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8e…31c0backed KT Rolster Challengers | 44c | 42.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed KT Rolster Challengers | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…50b8backed KT Rolster Challengers | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 526 | 46.2%243 W · 283 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…4310backed T1 Academy | 40c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked T1 Academy | 58c | 23.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…830ebacked T1 Academy | 79c | 12.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.65 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff PlayoffsT1 Academy won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 3 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.