Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Eastern Kentucky Colonels (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84ba6475eaa8ee6546962922506e8be01f6a4a0766ebda0de31d67d2c3f770ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Georgia Wolvesof Eastern Kentucky Colonels, West Georgia Wolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 52c | 4,302$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.83 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed West Georgia Wolves | 48c | 4,035$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.05 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed West Georgia Wolves | 48c | 726.95$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.08 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 52c | 219.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 55c | 82.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels | 52c | 34.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eastern Kentucky Colonels (-5.5)this page
- West Georgia Wolves vs. Eastern Kentucky ColonelsEastern Kentucky Colonels won
- West Georgia Wolves vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 153.5Over won
- West Georgia Wolves vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.