Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Xinxin Yao vs JiaYi Wang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85a85c81112cda0207c22d4f9d942ce47a13a56dabbaf232f4bedefc77426f62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xinxin Yaoof Xinxin Yao, JiaYi Wang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Xinxin Yao | 79c | 873$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.78 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed JiaYi Wang | 26c | 811.72$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.68 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xinxin Yao | 76c | 321.15$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.58 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Xinxin Yao | 73c | 293.64$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed JiaYi Wang | 22c | 192.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked JiaYi Wang | 24c | 168.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed JiaYi Wang | 32c | 119.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed JiaYi Wang | 16c | 110.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Xinxin Yao | 67c | 105.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Xinxin Yao | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked JiaYi Wang | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed JiaYi Wang | 28c | 95.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xinxin Yao | 72c | 91.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked JiaYi Wang | 24c | 71.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Xinxin Yao | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Xinxin Yao | 62c | 59.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked JiaYi Wang | 23c | 51.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…d1ddbacked JiaYi Wang | 24c | 50.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed JiaYi Wang | 25c | 45.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Xinxin Yao | 66c | 45.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Xinxin Yao | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Xinxin Yao | 50c | 38.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed Xinxin Yao | 73c | 38.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +15.0wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…6bcfbacked JiaYi Wang | 28c | 38.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Xinxin Yao | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Xinxin Yao | 74c | 32.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Xinxin Yao | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Xinxin Yao | 66c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Xinxin Yao | 76c | 25.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked JiaYi Wang | 52c | 19.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Xinxin Yao | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.