CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Team Novaq (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x864ad3f852eb844b6859bc860607bb286f065ed1d280ec08bdd4b6c37e5ec595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Novaqof aimclub, Team Novaq
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,091 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e0e…ad94backed Team Novaq | 77c | 848.21$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.21 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed aimclub | 20c | 796.22$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.7 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed aimclub | 23c | 747.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed aimclub | 16c | 664.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Team Novaq | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed aimclub | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd23…f7eabacked aimclub | 18c | 174.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Novaq | 76c | 145.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked aimclub | 19c | 133.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Team Novaq | 76c | 115.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Novaq | 79c | 105.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed aimclub | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…6634backed aimclub | 22c | 85.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d88…3effbacked aimclub | 18c | 84.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed aimclub | 19c | 70.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed aimclub | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed aimclub | 22c | 47.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…356dbacked aimclub | 26c | 46.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…64d6backed Team Novaq | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Team Novaq | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Team Novaq | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Team Novaq (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Athis page
- Map Handicap: NVQ (-1.5) vs aimclub (+1.5)Team Novaq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.