Euroleague · resolved market
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Saski Baskonia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8660619e3e1bfcf27e1e5eb030c57e1afcf044cdf30a81bb8ea10187c8bdd127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiacos B.C.of Olympiacos B.C., Saski Baskonia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,273 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Saski Baskonia | 12c | 2,230$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Saski Baskonia | 11c | 1,220$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.17 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Saski Baskonia | 12c | 1,208$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Saski Baskonia | 5c | 720.69$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saski Baskonia | 10c | 667.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Saski Baskonia | 17c | 660.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saski Baskonia | 10c | 558.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Saski Baskonia | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Saski Baskonia | 12c | 458.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Saski Baskonia | 11c | 338.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Saski Baskonia | 14c | 251.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Saski Baskonia | 7c | 232.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Saski Baskonia | 20c | 192$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saski Baskonia | 13c | 151.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Saski Baskonia | 13c | 149.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Saski Baskonia | 22c | 137$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Saski Baskonia | 20c | 134$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Saski Baskonia | 15c | 132.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Saski Baskonia | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 73c | 116$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…4f81backed Saski Baskonia | 19c | 104.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…dbf8backed Saski Baskonia | 15c | 65.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…c4aebacked Saski Baskonia | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.