Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon State Beavers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8667a2c568acd82f0557fefb7efa69d4f479ba9bf51deae2c565c217520cd71b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzaga Bulldogsof Oregon State Beavers, Gonzaga Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,203 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Oregon State Beavers | 5c | 13,913$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.99 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Oregon State Beavers | 0c | 10,662$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Oregon State Beavers | 5c | 9,116$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.15 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Oregon State Beavers | 4c | 2,508$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Oregon State Beavers | 4c | 2,417$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Oregon State Beavers | 4c | 1,541$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Oregon State Beavers | 2c | 1,429$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…8533backed Oregon State Beavers | 2c | 990.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Oregon State Beavers | 4c | 613.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…7873backed Oregon State Beavers | 5c | 509.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Oregon State Beavers | 5c | 399.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Oregon State Beavers | 4c | 356.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 10c | 293.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.86 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04ff…c4ccbacked Oregon State Beavers | 6c | 262.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsthis page
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 143.5Under won
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 144.5Under won
- Oregon State Beavers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs: O/U 145.5Under won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-18.5)Oregon State Beavers won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-19.5)Oregon State Beavers won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-20.5)Oregon State Beavers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.