South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x866f7d6fcb8bbf68c20cb33f4afa51ee0efc76e5959d7414bd6e293e085be26f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 37c | 20,276$7,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,469.32 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 63c | 4,874$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.38 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 4,314$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.94 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 23c | 3,796$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.56 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 2,310$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.24 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 40c | 2,236$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 2,022$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.89 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 1,530$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed No | 65c | 1,154$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.85 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 1,015$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.86 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 61c | 700$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 2c | 694.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 63c | 658.43$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.62 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 64c | 651.4$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.73 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Yes | 13c | 581.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 63c | 525.83$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.56 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 62c | 393$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.34 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Yes | 14c | 353.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 324$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 63c | 316.67$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 63c | 315.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 27c | 298.61$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 41c | 245.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes | 40c | 242.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 63c | 227.46$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 62c | 212$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 205$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 204$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 63c | 196$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 61c | 176.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 63c | 168.46$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 62c | 161.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 154.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 61c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 61c | 134.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 60c | 130.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…a11abacked Yes | 38c | 105.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 104.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 62c | 99.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed No | 63c | 79.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…e454backed No | 62c | 76.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +67%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 63c | 69.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 64c | 64.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 36c | 54.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 78c | 40.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3924…ee05backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 63c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…120dbacked No | 62c | 30.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked No | 63c | 25.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 63c | 23.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e3…de5dbacked No | 62c | 17.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked No | 63c | 16.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-06?this page
- Will Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-05-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.