Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs FALKE ESPORTS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x873274f5df4096ff78e72511aaae0329a1bcc80ad3978c2c0b3ae268c4668ad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FALKE ESPORTSof UCAM Esports Club, FALKE ESPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed FALKE ESPORTS | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed FALKE ESPORTS | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.98 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed UCAM Esports Club | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 279.68$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed UCAM Esports Club | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed UCAM Esports Club | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 44c | 180.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed UCAM Esports Club | 45c | 169.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed UCAM Esports Club | 45c | 164.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed UCAM Esports Club | 44c | 162.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FALKE ESPORTS | 51c | 152.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.12 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed UCAM Esports Club | 44c | 144.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed UCAM Esports Club | 45c | 139.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 44c | 106.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked UCAM Esports Club | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed UCAM Esports Club | 45c | 81.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed UCAM Esports Club | 46c | 70.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked UCAM Esports Club | 64c | 24.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs FALKE ESPORTS (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 PlayoffsFALKE ESPORTS won
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 1 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 2 WinnerFALKE ESPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.