CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ad468a96f83cc29ecc64a9fdb1c9005195e25b5189a63c792dc82a902e2838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof PCIFIC, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked PCIFIC | 48c | 645.96$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.88 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked PCIFIC | 36c | 576.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.48 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 508.67$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rune Eaters | 68c | 475.01$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.77 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 374.27$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed PCIFIC | 42c | 270$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed PCIFIC | 33c | 197.84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed PCIFIC | 35c | 156.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked PCIFIC | 41c | 141$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 77c | 130.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 119.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 112$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 101$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked PCIFIC | 32c | 89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 63.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 42.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked PCIFIC | 41c | 39.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed PCIFIC | 32c | 39.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 75c | 18.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Rune Eaters | 75c | 13.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament PlayoffsPCIFIC won
- Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerPCIFIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.