TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kent State vs. Western Michigan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kent Stateof Kent State, Western Michigan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29c0…efaabacked Kent State64c431$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.011,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c56…a0b8backed Western Michigan26c340$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9886…d781backed Kent State77c227$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c64…7259backed Kent State74c161$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.86366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…8066backed Western Michigan22c117$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bc…d29dbacked Western Michigan26c103$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kent State74c96.09$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9860551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf67d…7ffbbacked Kent State74c91$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2194…cedbbacked Western Michigan26c88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e1…e0ccbacked Kent State74c88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb71d…dbc8backed Western Michigan26c86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd98b…09bdbacked Western Michigan27c85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bf…33e3backed Western Michigan26c85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5da…c4a7backed Western Michigan26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc74a…6880backed Kent State74c79$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2385…eec9backed Western Michigan26c74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc675…18d0backed Western Michigan32c72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c22…3d4fbacked Western Michigan26c64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf112…aee8backed Western Michigan26c63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af0…f892backed Western Michigan26c63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…a12bbacked Kent State73c61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.47580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac2…2fe4backed Western Michigan32c61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Western Michigan26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.629012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e8…8ec3backed Kent State74c59$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Kent State75c58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1489…228dbacked Western Michigan26c54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2315…3434backed Western Michigan26c53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3db5…4082backed Western Michigan27c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84e6…25b8backed Western Michigan26c51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed52…7f9fbacked Western Michigan26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c63…87d3backed Western Michigan26c49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f3…83fcbacked Western Michigan32c47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20c7…fc85backed Western Michigan50c47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c3f…904cbacked Western Michigan50c46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6982…8cd3backed Kent State74c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.443100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71ad…c321backed Western Michigan31c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2aa…4680backed Kent State51c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c2…c122backed Kent State74c43$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+55.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe160…c13abacked Western Michigan49c43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8007…75d0backed Western Michigan31c43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff0…eec6backed Kent State51c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e4…c64cbacked Western Michigan49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x726f…212ebacked Western Michigan49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9940…1681backed Western Michigan31c41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x916b…f387backed Western Michigan31c41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4748…40d2backed Kent State50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d5…86c3backed Kent State50c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df6…ed47backed Kent State51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.11425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa713…b207backed Kent State74c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+69.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb92…feb9backed Kent State50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+106.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe12…f215backed Kent State74c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92ae…7e94backed Western Michigan49c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7033…163ebacked Western Michigan49c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c57…4f08backed Kent State74c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc8d…a6d8backed Kent State74c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e29…99c1backed Kent State74c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5749…95b0backed Kent State74c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93d6…afb7backed Kent State74c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45fa…ded5backed Kent State51c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…6485backed Western Michigan47c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f21…22f8backed Kent State68c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x713c…b95bbacked Kent State74c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…f522backed Western Michigan50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85ec…1d30backed Kent State74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+60.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc6b…adf0backed Kent State50c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4685…823dbacked Kent State51c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe791…e274backed Western Michigan50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc12…ebc1backed Kent State50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb24f…83edbacked Kent State74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x893b…3ff9backed Kent State74c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+7.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe50…7f05backed Kent State68c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11dc…44b4backed Kent State74c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be9…783ebacked Kent State74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…da85backed Kent State74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ed…31b8backed Western Michigan50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fd…9b69backed Kent State69c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcbf…e06ebacked Kent State74c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x764d…0150backed Kent State50c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5560…5a9ebacked Kent State74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e14…bb7bbacked Kent State68c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f39…9179backed Kent State74c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…190dbacked Kent State78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf40f…6c9fbacked Kent State69c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ace…bec1backed Kent State69c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac9…1d9ebacked Kent State74c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x202d…b746backed Western Michigan50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b00…6655backed Kent State74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c37…00c0backed Kent State74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4770…c3f8backed Kent State75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…cf17backed Kent State74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7e…b484backed Kent State74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc329…05c5backed Kent State74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea6…b3a8backed Kent State74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd659…0b87backed Kent State73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ece…c68bbacked Kent State74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4081…6bf1backed Kent State73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a10…e6b1backed Kent State74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2027…d4febacked Kent State74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…eef4backed Kent State73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd838…56dbbacked Kent State73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.