Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida International vs. UTEP
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x881e3ca300ae949752d8a721df680bace4211a9559de0beaddac1d92a36d89bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UTEPof Florida International, UTEP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Florida International | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UTEP | 63c | 937$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.4 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Florida International | 38c | 622.44$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.53 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked UTEP | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed UTEP | 79c | 256.52$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UTEP | 52c | 186$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaf…314cbacked UTEP | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…724dbacked Florida International | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cc…87e8backed UTEP | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3209…f94dbacked Florida International | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d3…2425backed UTEP | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…2dc0backed Florida International | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2f…3365backed Florida International | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…745abacked Florida International | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed UTEP | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…a506backed Florida International | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…3e76backed Florida International | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c51…57e5backed UTEP | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…aca7backed Florida International | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b9…46c2backed Florida International | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ee…78a9backed Florida International | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…e286backed UTEP | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…06febacked UTEP | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…d3e7backed UTEP | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…7ad7backed UTEP | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf35…9213backed Florida International | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…c108backed Florida International | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…a2e3backed Florida International | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe58f…32acbacked UTEP | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…0966backed UTEP | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.