Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Noskova vs Gracheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x881fe97a7a57be6418f25af01475f676f9dad98f46656c1e26c1316ca0a2bad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grachevaof Noskova, Gracheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Gracheva | 35c | 773.04$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.34 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Noskova | 65c | 561.54$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Noskova | 66c | 216.66$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gracheva | 68c | 163.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gracheva | 42c | 115.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gracheva | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Noskova | 41c | 96.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Gracheva | 31c | 90$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Gracheva | 33c | 88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…fc19backed Noskova | 66c | 70.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Noskova | 65c | 69.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Noskova | 74c | 52.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…934cbacked Noskova | 66c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Gracheva | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Gracheva | 36c | 36.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Gracheva | 31c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…4434backed Noskova | 66c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Noskova | 65c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…6c98backed Gracheva | 35c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Noskova | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Noskova | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Noskova | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf4…0ae8backed Noskova | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…9222backed Noskova | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Noskova | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Noskova | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Noskova | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Noskova | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Noskova | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Noskova | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…7d0bbacked Noskova | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…f7f9backed Noskova | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…b022backed Noskova | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…8ff8backed Noskova | 67c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…7d6abacked Noskova | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…20e3backed Noskova | 67c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8610…eba9backed Noskova | 66c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Noskova | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Noskova vs Grachevathis page
- Noskova vs. Gracheva: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Qatar Total Open: Linda Noskova vs Varvara GrachevaGracheva won
- Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Gracheva (+1.5)Gracheva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.