Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8820e245e23009e3bce6cde01308a3bb30306a07da11510ad927dfa1ae6a73b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Mates GCof Karmine Corp GC, Gentle Mates GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92c5…0cc0backed Gentle Mates GC | 38c | 2,470$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…57c8backed Gentle Mates GC | 38c | 2,460$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…3279backed Gentle Mates GC | 38c | 2,460$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed Karmine Corp GC | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e94…2890backed Gentle Mates GC | 38c | 1,650$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Gentle Mates GC | 40c | 1,558$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.7 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…a035backed Gentle Mates GC | 39c | 1,550$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f759backed Gentle Mates GC | 39c | 1,520$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…78dbbacked Gentle Mates GC | 39c | 1,510$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Gentle Mates GC | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…2014backed Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b5…67afbacked Gentle Mates GC | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988a…4897backed Gentle Mates GC | 39c | 1,060$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…d13dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 1,060$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…888abacked Gentle Mates GC | 39c | 1,010$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a89…57d1backed Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 1,010$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc527…9011backed Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 850$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…e445backed Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 850$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1284…ce6fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 830$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…f90bbacked Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 830$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54f…f451backed Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 820$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…419ebacked Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 820$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…f63fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 820$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4434…e252backed Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 810$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…9472backed Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 810$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…9d06backed Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a6…3841backed Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3293…b366backed Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 780$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa040…6724backed Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 770$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfa…68b8backed Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 765$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fde…25febacked Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 760$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4878…485cbacked Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 755$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf827…fedcbacked Karmine Corp GC | 61c | 750$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Karmine Corp GC | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Karmine Corp GC | 59c | 293.36$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 59c | 199.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Karmine Corp GC | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Karmine Corp GC | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Gentle Mates GC | 41c | 94.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Gentle Mates GC | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…98b9backed Gentle Mates GC | 41c | 38.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Karmine Corp GC | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Karmine Corp GC | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Karmine Corp GC | 58c | 20.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Karmine Corp GC | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.