Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Radford vs. Gardner Webb
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8848cb2dbdccba182be87dc84b1b050a41ab20f1f6527d1c1f65e5020f09453f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Radfordof Radford, Gardner Webb
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c6…b553backed Radford | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…2d1bbacked Radford | 55c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…c2b7backed Radford | 56c | 77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…fd5fbacked Gardner Webb | 43c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c9…a8f0backed Gardner Webb | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fc…8924backed Radford | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ae…60c4backed Gardner Webb | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x809b…a59dbacked Gardner Webb | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6112…6c53backed Gardner Webb | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…6020backed Gardner Webb | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…0aefbacked Gardner Webb | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf6…da46backed Gardner Webb | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…cda0backed Gardner Webb | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…1c31backed Gardner Webb | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…3412backed Gardner Webb | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…5c28backed Radford | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…93a6backed Gardner Webb | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…c30ebacked Radford | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…7a58backed Gardner Webb | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c6…9e70backed Radford | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…c397backed Gardner Webb | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…4936backed Radford | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b70…8b26backed Radford | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2daf…b449backed Gardner Webb | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…c3eebacked Radford | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…ed96backed Radford | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…7750backed Radford | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4776…3a4bbacked Radford | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…e83abacked Gardner Webb | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…ad1dbacked Radford | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +61%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…2761backed Radford | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…041cbacked Radford | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…4980backed Gardner Webb | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…df54backed Gardner Webb | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…8a37backed Radford | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…029dbacked Radford | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7c…1948backed Radford | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…8817backed Radford | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…8688backed Gardner Webb | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Radford | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.