CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs DashSkins (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8875a374d345ede7333472622cbfe63af91e82f2a9ab7dfa107a6305abbc857c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DashSkinsof Fake do Biru, DashSkins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,933 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 26c | 1,647$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DashSkins | 69c | 1,052$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Fake do Biru | 20c | 616$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed DashSkins | 69c | 579.99$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Fake do Biru | 29c | 426.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.77 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed Fake do Biru | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 67.4%89 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…0312backed Fake do Biru | 31c | 370.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.46 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Fake do Biru | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…664abacked Fake do Biru | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed DashSkins | 73c | 244.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Fake do Biru | 14c | 244.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked DashSkins | 63c | 159.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed DashSkins | 60c | 150.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed DashSkins | 70c | 127.75$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Fake do Biru | 23c | 105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Fake do Biru | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked DashSkins | 53c | 102.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae71…8488backed DashSkins | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Fake do Biru | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked DashSkins | 69c | 80.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Fake do Biru | 21c | 79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +6.6wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +3,274.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed DashSkins | 67c | 76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fake do Biru | 24c | 67.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed DashSkins | 62c | 63.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked DashSkins | 77c | 60.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…7fc1backed DashSkins | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a011backed Fake do Biru | 45c | 53.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked DashSkins | 61c | 52.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…89adbacked DashSkins | 69c | 50.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Fake do Biru | 27c | 41.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…f766backed DashSkins | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 20 | 90%18 W · 2 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Fake do Biru | 35c | 32.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed DashSkins | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…a179backed DashSkins | 57c | 28.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34a…4f29backed Fake do Biru | 47c | 26.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked DashSkins | 59c | 25.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed DashSkins | 63c | 17.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc264…ae51backed DashSkins | 79c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs DashSkins (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs DashSkins - Map 2 WinnerDashSkins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.