Lol · resolved market
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs BK ROG Esports (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ab55adb97683dc31691428ccb581bca1101221f0f2c086da721f2ff8c59e25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BK ROG Esportsof Vitality.Bee, BK ROG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 17,961$5,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,270.71 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked BK ROG Esports | 68c | 4,464$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.83 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed BK ROG Esports | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed BK ROG Esports | 72c | 3,911$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.98 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked BK ROG Esports | 72c | 1,615$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.28 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked BK ROG Esports | 75c | 1,500$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.1 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Vitality.Bee | 23c | 1,474$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.02 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Vitality.Bee | 31c | 1,281$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Vitality.Bee | 28c | 998.43$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.25 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed BK ROG Esports | 67c | 909.34$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.31 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Vitality.Bee | 28c | 799.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked BK ROG Esports | 68c | 790.22$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.88 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked BK ROG Esports | 69c | 785$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed BK ROG Esports | 72c | 778.69$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.69 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed BK ROG Esports | 68c | 740$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed BK ROG Esports | 73c | 708.83$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.53 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vitality.Bee | 31c | 578.65$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.83 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked BK ROG Esports | 70c | 555$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Vitality.Bee | 25c | 475$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed BK ROG Esports | 73c | 434.21$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked BK ROG Esports | 75c | 420$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…9f9cbacked BK ROG Esports | 71c | 417.95$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked BK ROG Esports | 72c | 411.37$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Vitality.Bee | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed BK ROG Esports | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 238.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa67a…af94backed Vitality.Bee | 8c | 210$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked BK ROG Esports | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed BK ROG Esports | 68c | 206$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Vitality.Bee | 40c | 201.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 200.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 388 | 35.3%137 W · 251 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked BK ROG Esports | 71c | 171$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed BK ROG Esports | 71c | 158.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked BK ROG Esports | 69c | 152.72$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed BK ROG Esports | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed BK ROG Esports | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vitality.Bee | 17c | 143.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked BK ROG Esports | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed BK ROG Esports | 72c | 136.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 274 | 55.8%153 W · 121 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed BK ROG Esports | 74c | 135.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 130.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed BK ROG Esports | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BK ROG Esports | 75c | 123.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked Vitality.Bee | 15c | 114.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed BK ROG Esports | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed BK ROG Esports | 68c | 87.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Vitality.Bee | 30c | 83.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…12adbacked BK ROG Esports | 71c | 70.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Vitality.Bee | 28c | 62.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vitality.Bee | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed BK ROG Esports | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked BK ROG Esports | 74c | 56.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…d85fbacked BK ROG Esports | 74c | 55.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 54.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Vitality.Bee | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…dcc5backed BK ROG Esports | 71c | 50.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…adbdbacked BK ROG Esports | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked BK ROG Esports | 72c | 49.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…f7c2backed Vitality.Bee | 23c | 43.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed BK ROG Esports | 75c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…7fa3backed BK ROG Esports | 68c | 36.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 285 | 52.6%150 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed BK ROG Esports | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed BK ROG Esports | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed BK ROG Esports | 74c | 27.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 129 | 62%80 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked BK ROG Esports | 78c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed BK ROG Esports | 71c | 22.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0e…3d22backed BK ROG Esports | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed BK ROG Esports | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…934cbacked BK ROG Esports | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…7d0bbacked BK ROG Esports | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…beaabacked BK ROG Esports | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…baafbacked BK ROG Esports | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed BK ROG Esports | 70c | 14.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e6…ac47backed BK ROG Esports | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.