Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ad245ee0c7c3b25b25c2ab1fc9b97e459b2f860aff4b3db008b163226117a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 52c | 95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 51c | 87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 46c | 70.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 52c | 67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Under | 46c | 58.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 46c | 28.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…53eabacked Under | 53c | 28.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650c…f1b1backed Over | 49c | 26.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…1acbbacked Over | 49c | 26.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x880e…ea52backed Under | 53c | 23.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab42…9807backed Under | 53c | 23.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)Wrexham AFC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Sheffield United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.