Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: MDR (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88e6e44bd0dfe1d4ff60c2b8c055f7a04cca078a3135fe8a7499949cb48e1774
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCAM Esports Clubof Mandatory, UCAM Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed UCAM Esports Club | 64c | 3,497$2,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.07 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Mandatory | 36c | 1,773$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.32 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked UCAM Esports Club | 63c | 914$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.82 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Mandatory | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Mandatory | 36c | 436$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Mandatory | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Mandatory | 36c | 249.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Mandatory | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…cf3abacked Mandatory | 36c | 183.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Mandatory | 36c | 179$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mandatory | 37c | 101$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Mandatory | 36c | 64.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Mandatory | 36c | 47.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Mandatory | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MDR (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Mandatory (BO3) - VCL EMEA: PlayoffsUCAM Esports Club won
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Mandatory - Map 1 WinnerMandatory won
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Mandatory - Map 2 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.