Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Belmont Bruins vs. Charleston Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x898edc5c43a7910cdc1e0b3a4ac59a3603e902e239d981ccda3958d1b014a47e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belmont Bruinsof Belmont Bruins, Charleston Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Belmont Bruins | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Charleston Cougars | 41c | 1,964$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.18 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Charleston Cougars | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Charleston Cougars | 41c | 826.07$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.69 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Belmont Bruins | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Charleston Cougars | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Charleston Cougars | 41c | 783.18$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.12 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Belmont Bruins | 56c | 549$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Charleston Cougars | 13c | 458.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Charleston Cougars | 34c | 402.53$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Charleston Cougars | 44c | 280$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Charleston Cougars | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Charleston Cougars | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…a93cbacked Charleston Cougars | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Charleston Cougars | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Belmont Bruins | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Charleston Cougars | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belmont Bruins vs. Charleston Cougarsthis page
- Spread: Belmont Bruins (-2.5)Belmont Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.