College Football · resolved market
Will Clemson beat Pitt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a21475ece365dca0dbde91b4413fb0c4090351cb5a01e771c7ba5ec0adb7442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemsonof Clemson, Pitt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Pitt | 10c | 3,193$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.65 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Pitt | 16c | 2,207$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.1 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Clemson | 30c | 1,658$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.17 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Clemson | 42c | 1,526$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pitt | 49c | 938.65$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.23 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…136fbacked Pitt | 19c | 630.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Pitt | 72c | 532.01$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.03 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…29e5backed Pitt | 21c | 523.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Clemson | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Pitt | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Pitt | 13c | 349.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Pitt | 14c | 251.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked Pitt | 24c | 173.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Pitt | 9c | 166.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Pitt | 19c | 119.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pitt | 10c | 111.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Pitt | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…09e6backed Pitt | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Pitt | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88b…8941backed Pitt | 77c | 51.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce4a…26f5backed Clemson | 79c | 38.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Clemson | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Clemson beat Pitt?this page
- Will Clemson beat Pitt by 12 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.