Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a9a17b501de1fb443aba2d6c74a3fa0e601588792875c5085f89d3aaf13172e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 64c | 2,325$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.54 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 1,974$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.27 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 15c | 1,173$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 77c | 1,070$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.53 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 8c | 591.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 504.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 62c | 503$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 37c | 499.86$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.95 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 23c | 490.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Yes | 79c | 440$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 424.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 37c | 269.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 38c | 245.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 64c | 171.88$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 63c | 159.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 39c | 131.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 62c | 101$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Yes | 63c | 94.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 378 | 40.5%153 W · 225 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…724bbacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…81ebbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5517…11d5backed Yes | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…6a57backed Yes | 64c | 21.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.